A Free-Market Energy Blog

Peak Gas, Peak Demand? McKibben in Fantasy Land

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 26, 2026

It is factually correct and mainstream that both oil-and-gas production and energy demand are increasing. But here comes climate alarmist Bill McKibben, climate writer at the New York Times, promoting a false narrative of fossil fuels declining in supply and in demand.

It is a strange development. McKibben previously ranted about the lack of climate action in the face of a crisis. He seemed ready to throw in the towel if the political world would not get better. But what is a spent climate alarmist to do? Create a message of hope.

McKibben’s is an old page from the energy-subtraction Progressive Left. Remember what Amory Lovins stated nearly a half-century ago?

“The long-term prospects of selling more electricity are dismal.” [1]

“Prominent exploration experts have recently predicted that total world production of liquid oil will peak by about the end of this decade-or a few years later if production does not rise much-and will decline thereafter.”

Continue Reading

Renewables: Energy Addition, not Substitution (a retreating narrative)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 25, 2026

“Upstream fossil fuel extraction productivity … gains are sufficient to outweigh much larger improvements in renewables generation. [R]enewables productivity gains must exceed fossil gains by approximately 4–5× for net emissions to break even: each 1% marginal productivity gain in fossil fuels requires 4–5% gains in renewables.” (Nature Portfolio, below) 

When the climate alarmists/forced energy transformationists bow to reality, it is worth noting. The latest example is a setback to the governmental push for wind, solar, and batteries in place of consumer-driven oil, gas, and coal. Instead of “energy transition” and “Net Zero,” the reality is, to use a term of Alex Epstein, fossil future.

AI-driven Productivity Gains Enable More CO Emissions than They Avoid in a Global Energy–Economy Model,” (Nature Portfolio: August 4, 2026) goes from climate alarmism to energy reality.…

Continue Reading

AI: Peak Demand and Peak Supply Postponed (fossil future)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 24, 2026

“Absent [climate] policy steering [intervention], AI’s modeled effects increase the carbon intensity of the global economy and reinforce fossil fuel incumbency—outcomes that current analytical and governance frameworks do not fully capture.” (Nature Portfolio, below)

Age-old fears of declining fossil fuel supply and falling demand have, once again, been upended by the engines of progress. The anti-CO2 crusade, futile and wasteful, has been set back again. Tsvetana Paraskova’s “AI Could Make Big Oil Even Bigger” (OilPrice.com: August 18, 2026) gives the supply-side story:

AI could strengthen fossil fuels, with oil and gas productivity gains potentially outweighing emissions savings from renewables.

  • AI could create nearly $500 billion in value for E&P companies by 2030 through lower costs and higher production.
  • Exxon and Chevron are already deploying AI in exploration, potentially uncovering new drilling opportunities and accelerating development.
Continue Reading

The 1970s Oil Crisis: Never Forget

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 21, 2026
Continue Reading

Psychedelics for Climate Action (12,000 cultists)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 20, 2026
Continue Reading

Blue States. High Rates ($0.55/gallon premium)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 19, 2026
Continue Reading

Hydrogen: Not Market Ready

By Kennedy Maize -- August 18, 2026
Continue Reading

Energy & Environmental Review: August 17, 2026

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 17, 2026
Continue Reading

CO2 is Winning (Mitigation fail)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 14, 2026
Continue Reading

The Weak EV Narrative (fix is in with NYT essay)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- August 13, 2026
Continue Reading